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Grand Chess Tour · Rapid | Warsaw

Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley

Firouzja, Alireza Firouzja, Alireza 1.65
VS
Wed, May 06
15:30 CET
So, Wesley So, Wesley 2.11
Win Probability implied from market odds
56.1%
Firouzja, Alireza
1.65
43.9%
So, Wesley
2.11

Firouzja, Alireza are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

So, Wesley (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.11 odds. If you bet $100 on So, Wesley you can win $$211.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Firouzja, Alireza (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.65. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $165.00.

Betting Prediction

Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley Prediction & Betting Tips | Rapid | Warsaw Chess

Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley – Rapid | Warsaw Match Prediction

Grand Chess Tour | Rapid | Warsaw | Chess

Ahead of this Rapid | Warsaw fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley.

Outcome: Firouzja, Alireza Win | Probability: 56.1

Outcome: So, Wesley Win | Probability: 43.9

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley?

Our model gives Firouzja, Alireza the clear edge in this Chess matchup, with a 56.1 probability of victory. So, Wesley come in at 43.9 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Firouzja, Alireza's 56.1 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Rapid | Warsaw Chess fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Firouzja, Alireza's 56.1 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with So, Wesley at 43.9, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley: Firouzja, Alireza to win is the percentage-backed selection at 56.1 and represents the straightforward model play. So, Wesley at 43.9 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Firouzja, Alireza vs So, Wesley

Sport: Chess

Country: Grand Chess Tour

League: Rapid | Warsaw

Favourite: Firouzja, Alireza (56.1)

Underdog: So, Wesley (43.9)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 2.95
X 2.30
2 4.00

11

1 1.65
2 2.11