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Counter-Strike 2 · S | IEM Rio 2026

MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming

MOUZ MOUZ 1.57
VS
Tue, Apr 14
22:30 CET
Aurora Gaming Aurora Gaming 2.34
Win Probability implied from market odds
59.8%
MOUZ
1.57
40.2%
Aurora Gaming
2.34

MOUZ are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Aurora Gaming (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.34 odds. If you bet $100 on Aurora Gaming you can win $$234.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on MOUZ (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.57. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $157.00.

Betting Prediction

MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming Prediction & Betting Tips | S | IEM Rio 2026 Counter-Strike

MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming – S | IEM Rio 2026 Match Prediction

Counter-Strike 2 | S | IEM Rio 2026 | Counter-Strike

Ahead of this S | IEM Rio 2026 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming.

Outcome: MOUZ Win | Probability: 59.8

Outcome: Aurora Gaming Win | Probability: 40.2

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming?

Our model gives MOUZ the clear edge in this Counter-Strike matchup, with a 59.8 probability of victory. Aurora Gaming come in at 40.2 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. MOUZ's 59.8 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for S | IEM Rio 2026 Counter-Strike fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. MOUZ's 59.8 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Aurora Gaming at 40.2, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming: MOUZ to win is the percentage-backed selection at 59.8 and represents the straightforward model play. Aurora Gaming at 40.2 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming

Sport: Counter-Strike

Country: Counter-Strike 2

League: S | IEM Rio 2026

Favourite: MOUZ (59.8)

Underdog: Aurora Gaming (40.2)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.57
2 2.34