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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa

Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan

Tokkos, George Tokkos, George 1.50
VS
Sun, May 17
01:15 CET
Erslan, Ivan Erslan, Ivan 2.45
Win Probability implied from market odds
62%
Tokkos, George
1.50
38%
Erslan, Ivan
2.45

Tokkos, George are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Tokkos, George (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.45 odds. If you bet $100 on Tokkos, George you can win $$245.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Erslan, Ivan (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.50. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $150.00.

Betting Prediction

Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan Prediction & Betting Tips | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Mixed Martial Arts

Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Match Prediction

UFC | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan.

Outcome: Tokkos, George Win | Probability: 62.0

Outcome: Erslan, Ivan Win | Probability: 38.0

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan?

Our model gives Tokkos, George the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 62.0 probability of victory. Erslan, Ivan come in at 38.0 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Tokkos, George's 62.0 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Tokkos, George's 62.0 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Erslan, Ivan at 38.0, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan: Tokkos, George to win is the percentage-backed selection at 62.0 and represents the straightforward model play. Erslan, Ivan at 38.0 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Tokkos, George vs Erslan, Ivan

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: UFC

League: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa

Favourite: Tokkos, George (62.0)

Underdog: Erslan, Ivan (38.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

2 1.50
1 2.45