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Australia · A-League

Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC

Macarthur FC Macarthur FC 1.94
VS
Fri, Apr 24
11:35 CET
draw
3.95
Wellington Phoenix FC Wellington Phoenix FC 3.25
Win Probability implied from market odds
47.9%
Macarthur FC
1.94
23.5%
Draw
3.95
28.6%
Wellington Phoenix FC
3.25

Macarthur FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.95 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$395.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Macarthur FC (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.94. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $194.00.

Betting Prediction

Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC Prediction & Betting Tips | A-League Soccer being played on Friday, Apr 24 at 11:35

Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC – A-League Match Prediction

Australia | A-League | Soccer

Ahead of this A-League fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC.

Outcome: Macarthur FC Win | Probability: 47.9

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.5

Outcome: Wellington Phoenix FC Win | Probability: 28.6

Who Is Favoured between Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC?

Our model gives Macarthur FC the edge in this Soccer match, with a 47.9 probability of claiming all three points. Wellington Phoenix FC are rated as the underdog at 28.6, while there remains a 23.5 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.5 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Macarthur FC holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for A-League Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Macarthur FC's 47.9 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Wellington Phoenix FC's 28.6 is far from negligible — competitive A-League fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC: Macarthur FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 47.9. The draw at 23.5 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Wellington Phoenix FC at 28.6 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC

Match: Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Australia

League: A-League

Favourite: Macarthur FC (47.9)

Draw Chance: 23.5

Underdog: Wellington Phoenix FC (28.6)

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Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

1 1.47
2 2.46

1

2 3.25
1 1.94
X 3.95
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