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England · Championship

Derby County vs Stoke City

Derby County Derby County 2.84
VS
Sat, Oct 17
16:00 CET
draw
3.40
Stoke City Stoke City 2.34
Win Probability implied from market odds
32.8%
Derby County
2.84
27.4%
Draw
3.40
39.8%
Stoke City
2.34

Stoke City are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.40 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$340.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Stoke City (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.34. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $234.00.

Betting Prediction

Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips | Championship Soccer

Derby County vs Stoke City – Championship Match Prediction

England | Championship | Soccer

Ahead of this Championship fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Derby County vs Stoke City.

Outcome: Derby County Win | Probability: 32.8

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 27.4

Outcome: Stoke City Win | Probability: 39.8

Who Is Favoured between Derby County vs Stoke City?

Our model points to Stoke City as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 39.8 probability of taking the win. Derby County are rated at 32.8 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 27.4 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 27.4 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Championship Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Stoke City's 39.8 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Derby County's 32.8 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Championship Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Derby County vs Stoke City: Stoke City to win is the percentage-backed selection at 39.8. The draw at 27.4 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Derby County at 32.8 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Derby County vs Stoke City

Sport: Soccer

Country: England

League: Championship

Favourite: Stoke City (39.8)

Draw Chance: 27.4

Underdog: Derby County (32.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 2.84
X 3.40
2 2.34

10

11 1.38
10 1.28
9 1.54

11

2 1.70
1 2.06