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England · Premier League

Burnley FC vs Manchester City

Burnley FC Burnley FC 11.00
VS
Wed, Apr 22
21:00 CET
draw
6.40
Manchester City Manchester City 1.23
Win Probability implied from market odds
8.6%
Burnley FC
11.00
14.7%
Draw
6.40
76.7%
Manchester City
1.23

Manchester City are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Burnley FC (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 11.00 odds. If you bet $100 on Burnley FC you can win $$1,100.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Manchester City (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.23. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $123.00.

Betting Prediction

Burnley FC vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips | Premier League Soccer

Burnley FC vs Manchester City – Premier League Match Prediction

England | Premier League | Soccer

Ahead of this Premier League fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Burnley FC vs Manchester City.

Outcome: Burnley FC Win | Probability: 8.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 14.7

Outcome: Manchester City Win | Probability: 76.7

Who Is Favoured between Burnley FC vs Manchester City?

Our model points to Manchester City as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 76.7 probability of taking the win. Burnley FC are rated at 8.6 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 14.7 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 14.7 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Premier League Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Manchester City's 76.7 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Burnley FC's 8.6 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Premier League Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Burnley FC vs Manchester City: Manchester City to win is the percentage-backed selection at 76.7. The draw at 14.7 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Burnley FC at 8.6 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Burnley FC vs Manchester City

Sport: Soccer

Country: England

League: Premier League

Favourite: Manchester City (76.7)

Draw Chance: 14.7

Underdog: Burnley FC (8.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

2 1.05
1 7.20

1

1 11.00
X 6.40
2 1.23

10

11 1.02
10 1.09
9 3.85