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Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes

Toulouse FC 1.62

Sat, Oct 24

17:15 CET

draw

4.10

ESTAC Troyes 5.00

Win Probability implied from market odds

58.2%

Toulouse FC

1.62

23%

Draw

4.10

18.8%

ESTAC Troyes

5.00

Toulouse FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

ESTAC Troyes (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 5.00 odds. If you bet $100 on ESTAC Troyes you can win $$500.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Toulouse FC (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.62. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $162.00.

Betting Prediction

Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes Prediction & Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Soccer being played on Saturday, Oct 24 at 17:15

Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes – Ligue 1 Match Prediction

France | Ligue 1 | Soccer

Ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes.

Outcome: Toulouse FC Win | Probability: 58.2

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.0

Outcome: ESTAC Troyes Win | Probability: 18.8

Who Is Favoured between Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes?

Our model gives Toulouse FC the edge in this Soccer match, with a 58.2 probability of claiming all three points. ESTAC Troyes are rated as the underdog at 18.8, while there remains a 23.0 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.0 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Toulouse FC holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Ligue 1 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Toulouse FC's 58.2 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, ESTAC Troyes's 18.8 is far from negligible — competitive Ligue 1 fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes: Toulouse FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 58.2. The draw at 23.0 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. ESTAC Troyes at 18.8 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes

Match: Toulouse FC vs ESTAC Troyes

Sport: Soccer

Country: France

League: Ligue 1

Favourite: Toulouse FC (58.2)

Draw Chance: 23.0

Underdog: ESTAC Troyes (18.8)

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Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Form & league table

Toulouse FC

#11 of 18 · 9 pts · 2W 3D 2L · 12:11

L D W D W

Last match 7 days ago
Next: Marseille, 8 days later

ESTAC Troyes

#17 of 18 · 4 pts · 1W 1D 5L · 5:16

L L L L L

Last match 6 days ago
Next: Le Mans, 7 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

Ligue 1 table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Lyon	7	4	2	1	13:5	8	14
2	Paris Saint-Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	5	14
3	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	12:7	5	14
4	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	5	14
5	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	4	14
6	Rennes	7	4	1	2	15:14	1	13
7	Lorient	7	3	2	2	7:6	1	11
8	Lens	7	3	1	3	14:11	3	10
9	Marseille	7	3	0	4	14:10	4	9
10	Brest	7	2	3	2	13:10	3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	12:11	1	9
12	Auxerre	7	3	0	4	11:17	-6	9
13	Nice	7	2	2	3	6:9	-3	8
14	Strasbourg	7	2	1	4	12:15	-3	7
15	Angers	7	2	1	4	9:15	-6	7
16	Le Mans	7	1	3	3	10:15	-5	6
17	Troyes	7	1	1	5	5:16	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	0	2	5	5:11	-6	2