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Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund 1.31

LIVE 2 - 2

Werder Bremen 8.40

Win Probability implied from market odds

71.9%

Borussia Dortmund

1.31

16.8%

Draw

5.60

11.2%

Werder Bremen

8.40

Borussia Dortmund are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Werder Bremen (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 8.40 odds. If you bet $100 on Werder Bremen you can win $$840.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Borussia Dortmund (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.31. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $131.00.

Betting Prediction

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips | Bundesliga Soccer being played on Friday, Oct 09 at 20:30

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen – Bundesliga Match Prediction

Germany | Bundesliga | Soccer

Ahead of this Bundesliga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen.

Outcome: Borussia Dortmund Win | Probability: 71.9

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 16.8

Outcome: Werder Bremen Win | Probability: 11.2

Who Is Favoured between Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our model gives Borussia Dortmund the edge in this Soccer match, with a 71.9 probability of claiming all three points. Werder Bremen are rated as the underdog at 11.2, while there remains a 16.8 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 16.8 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Borussia Dortmund holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Bundesliga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Borussia Dortmund's 71.9 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Werder Bremen's 11.2 is far from negligible — competitive Bundesliga fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Borussia Dortmund to win is the percentage-backed selection at 71.9. The draw at 16.8 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Werder Bremen at 11.2 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Match: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Sport: Soccer

Country: Germany

League: Bundesliga

Favourite: Borussia Dortmund (71.9)

Draw Chance: 16.8

Underdog: Werder Bremen (11.2)

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Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Form & league table

Borussia Dortmund

#2 of 18 · 13 pts · 4W 1D 0L · 11:4

W W W W W

Last match 20 days ago
Next: Bodø/Glimt, 5 days later

Werder Bremen

#7 of 18 · 8 pts · 2W 2D 1L · 10:10

L W D W

Last match 20 days ago
Next: Paderborn, 7 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

Bundesliga table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Freiburg	5	4	1	0	14:4	10	13
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	7	13
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	16:4	12	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	14:8	6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	15:5	10	9
6	Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10:10	0	8
8	Mainz	5	2	1	2	13:10	3	7
9	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
10	Köln	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8:9	-1	6
12	Hamburg	5	2	0	3	5:15	-10	6
13	Schalke 04	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	9:16	-7	5
15	Paderborn	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5:17	-12	4
17	Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9:13	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5	0	0	5	7:18	-11	0