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Germany · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 2.68
VS
Sat, Apr 18
15:30 CET
draw
3.80
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2.34
Win Probability implied from market odds
35.1%
TSG Hoffenheim
2.68
24.7%
Draw
3.80
40.2%
Borussia Dortmund
2.34

Borussia Dortmund are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.80 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$380.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Borussia Dortmund (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.34. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $234.00.

Betting Prediction

TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips | Bundesliga Soccer

TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund – Bundesliga Match Prediction

Germany | Bundesliga | Soccer

Ahead of this Bundesliga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund.

Outcome: TSG Hoffenheim Win | Probability: 35.1

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 24.7

Outcome: Borussia Dortmund Win | Probability: 40.2

Who Is Favoured between TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our model points to Borussia Dortmund as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 40.2 probability of taking the win. TSG Hoffenheim are rated at 35.1 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 24.7 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 24.7 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Bundesliga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Borussia Dortmund's 40.2 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, TSG Hoffenheim's 35.1 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Bundesliga Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund to win is the percentage-backed selection at 40.2. The draw at 24.7 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. TSG Hoffenheim at 35.1 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

Sport: Soccer

Country: Germany

League: Bundesliga

Favourite: Borussia Dortmund (40.2)

Draw Chance: 24.7

Underdog: TSG Hoffenheim (35.1)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

2 1.75
1 1.98

1

1 2.68
X 3.80
2 2.34

10

11 1.43
10 1.23
9 1.54