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Indonesia · Liga 1

Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1.66
VS
Fri, Apr 17
14:00 CET
draw
3.70
Madura United Madura United 4.70
Win Probability implied from market odds
55.5%
Persebaya Surabaya
1.66
24.9%
Draw
3.70
19.6%
Madura United
4.70

Persebaya Surabaya are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Madura United (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.70 odds. If you bet $100 on Madura United you can win $$470.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Persebaya Surabaya (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.66. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $166.00.

Betting Prediction

Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United Prediction & Betting Tips | Liga 1 Soccer being played on Friday, Apr 17 at 14:00

Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United – Liga 1 Match Prediction

Indonesia | Liga 1 | Soccer

Ahead of this Liga 1 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United.

Outcome: Persebaya Surabaya Win | Probability: 55.5

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 24.9

Outcome: Madura United Win | Probability: 19.6

Who Is Favoured between Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United?

Our model gives Persebaya Surabaya the edge in this Soccer match, with a 55.5 probability of claiming all three points. Madura United are rated as the underdog at 19.6, while there remains a 24.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 24.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Persebaya Surabaya holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Liga 1 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Persebaya Surabaya's 55.5 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Madura United's 19.6 is far from negligible — competitive Liga 1 fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United: Persebaya Surabaya to win is the percentage-backed selection at 55.5. The draw at 24.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Madura United at 19.6 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United

Match: Persebaya Surabaya vs Madura United

Sport: Soccer

Country: Indonesia

League: Liga 1

Favourite: Persebaya Surabaya (55.5)

Draw Chance: 24.9

Underdog: Madura United (19.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

1 1.28
2 3.25

1

X 3.70
1 1.66
2 4.70