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International · UEFA Conference League

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1.95
VS
Thu, Apr 16
18:45 CET
draw
3.60
FC Shakhtar Donetsk FC Shakhtar Donetsk 3.50
Win Probability implied from market odds
47.6%
AZ Alkmaar
1.95
25.8%
Draw
3.60
26.5%
FC Shakhtar Donetsk
3.50

AZ Alkmaar are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.60 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$360.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on AZ Alkmaar (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.95. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $195.00.

Betting Prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips | UEFA Conference League Soccer being played on Thursday, Apr 16 at 18:45

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk – UEFA Conference League Match Prediction

International | UEFA Conference League | Soccer

Ahead of this UEFA Conference League fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk.

Outcome: AZ Alkmaar Win | Probability: 47.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 25.8

Outcome: FC Shakhtar Donetsk Win | Probability: 26.5

Who Is Favoured between AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our model gives AZ Alkmaar the edge in this Soccer match, with a 47.6 probability of claiming all three points. FC Shakhtar Donetsk are rated as the underdog at 26.5, while there remains a 25.8 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 25.8 is considered {draw_label}. Despite AZ Alkmaar holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UEFA Conference League Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. AZ Alkmaar's 47.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, FC Shakhtar Donetsk's 26.5 is far from negligible — competitive UEFA Conference League fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk: AZ Alkmaar to win is the percentage-backed selection at 47.6. The draw at 25.8 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. FC Shakhtar Donetsk at 26.5 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk

Match: AZ Alkmaar vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk

Sport: Soccer

Country: International

League: UEFA Conference League

Favourite: AZ Alkmaar (47.6)

Draw Chance: 25.8

Underdog: FC Shakhtar Donetsk (26.5)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

1 1.44
2 2.56

1

X 3.60
1 1.95
2 3.50