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International · UEFA Nations League C

Iceland vs Bulgaria

Iceland Iceland 1.42
VS
Sat, Oct 03
18:00 CET
draw
4.50
Bulgaria Bulgaria 7.40
Win Probability implied from market odds
66.3%
Iceland
1.42
20.9%
Draw
4.50
12.7%
Bulgaria
7.40

Iceland are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Bulgaria (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 7.40 odds. If you bet $100 on Bulgaria you can win $$740.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Iceland (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.42. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $142.00.

Betting Prediction

Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips | UEFA Nations League C Soccer being played on Saturday, Oct 03 at 18:00

Iceland vs Bulgaria – UEFA Nations League C Match Prediction

International | UEFA Nations League C | Soccer

Ahead of this UEFA Nations League C fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Iceland vs Bulgaria.

Outcome: Iceland Win | Probability: 66.3

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 20.9

Outcome: Bulgaria Win | Probability: 12.7

Who Is Favoured between Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Our model gives Iceland the edge in this Soccer match, with a 66.3 probability of claiming all three points. Bulgaria are rated as the underdog at 12.7, while there remains a 20.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 20.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Iceland holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UEFA Nations League C Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Iceland's 66.3 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Bulgaria's 12.7 is far from negligible — competitive UEFA Nations League C fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Iceland vs Bulgaria: Iceland to win is the percentage-backed selection at 66.3. The draw at 20.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Bulgaria at 12.7 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Iceland vs Bulgaria

Match: Iceland vs Bulgaria

Sport: Soccer

Country: International

League: UEFA Nations League C

Favourite: Iceland (66.3)

Draw Chance: 20.9

Underdog: Bulgaria (12.7)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.42
X 4.50
2 7.40

10

11 2.68
10 1.18
9 1.07

11

1 1.13
2 5.40