Back to Serie A

Italy · Serie A

AS Roma vs Genoa CFC

AS Roma 1.54

Sat, Oct 17

20:45 CET

draw

4.10

Genoa CFC 6.00

Win Probability implied from market odds

61.3%

AS Roma

1.54

23%

Draw

4.10

15.7%

Genoa CFC

6.00

AS Roma are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Genoa CFC (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 6.00 odds. If you bet $100 on Genoa CFC you can win $$600.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on AS Roma (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.54. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $154.00.

Betting Prediction

AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction & Betting Tips | Serie A Soccer being played on Saturday, Oct 17 at 20:45

AS Roma vs Genoa CFC – Serie A Match Prediction

Italy | Serie A | Soccer

Ahead of this Serie A fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for AS Roma vs Genoa CFC.

Outcome: AS Roma Win | Probability: 61.3

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.0

Outcome: Genoa CFC Win | Probability: 15.7

Who Is Favoured between AS Roma vs Genoa CFC?

Our model gives AS Roma the edge in this Soccer match, with a 61.3 probability of claiming all three points. Genoa CFC are rated as the underdog at 15.7, while there remains a 23.0 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.0 is considered {draw_label}. Despite AS Roma holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Serie A Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. AS Roma's 61.3 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Genoa CFC's 15.7 is far from negligible — competitive Serie A fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for AS Roma vs Genoa CFC: AS Roma to win is the percentage-backed selection at 61.3. The draw at 23.0 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Genoa CFC at 15.7 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between AS Roma vs Genoa CFC

Match: AS Roma vs Genoa CFC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Italy

League: Serie A

Favourite: AS Roma (61.3)

Draw Chance: 23.0

Underdog: Genoa CFC (15.7)

Bet Now

Bet on Winna

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Form & league table

AS Roma

#1 of 20 · 13 pts · 4W 1D 0L · 14:3

W D W D D

Last match 6 days ago
Next: Napoli, 6 days later

Genoa CFC

#19 of 20 · 1 pts · 0W 1D 3L · 2:8

L D W L W

Last match 7 days ago
Next: Venezia, 7 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

Serie A table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
2	Inter Milan	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
5	Como	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7:4	3	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
16	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5:11	-6	3
17	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
18	Parma	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0