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Italy · Serie A

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina

US Lecce US Lecce 3.45
VS
Mon, Apr 20
20:45 CET
draw
3.30
ACF Fiorentina ACF Fiorentina 2.12
Win Probability implied from market odds
27.2%
US Lecce
3.45
28.5%
Draw
3.30
44.3%
ACF Fiorentina
2.12

ACF Fiorentina are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

US Lecce (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 3.45 odds. If you bet $100 on US Lecce you can win $$345.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on ACF Fiorentina (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.12. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $212.00.

Betting Prediction

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips | Serie A Soccer

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina – Serie A Match Prediction

Italy | Serie A | Soccer

Ahead of this Serie A fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina.

Outcome: US Lecce Win | Probability: 27.2

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 28.5

Outcome: ACF Fiorentina Win | Probability: 44.3

Who Is Favoured between US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina?

Our model points to ACF Fiorentina as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 44.3 probability of taking the win. US Lecce are rated at 27.2 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 28.5 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 28.5 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Serie A Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. ACF Fiorentina's 44.3 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, US Lecce's 27.2 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Serie A Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina to win is the percentage-backed selection at 44.3. The draw at 28.5 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. US Lecce at 27.2 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina

Sport: Soccer

Country: Italy

League: Serie A

Favourite: ACF Fiorentina (44.3)

Draw Chance: 28.5

Underdog: US Lecce (27.2)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

2 1.50
1 2.46

1

1 3.45
X 3.30
2 2.12

10

11 1.27
10 1.29
9 1.66