Back to Serie A

Italy · Serie A LIVE

US Lecce vs Bologna FC

US Lecce 4.40

LIVE 1 - 2

Bologna FC 1.88

Win Probability implied from market odds

21.3%

US Lecce

4.40

28.8%

Draw

3.25

49.9%

Bologna FC

1.88

Bologna FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

US Lecce (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.40 odds. If you bet $100 on US Lecce you can win $$440.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Bologna FC (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.88. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $188.00.

Betting Prediction

US Lecce vs Bologna FC Prediction & Betting Tips | Serie A Soccer

US Lecce vs Bologna FC – Serie A Match Prediction

Italy | Serie A | Soccer

Ahead of this Serie A fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for US Lecce vs Bologna FC.

Outcome: US Lecce Win | Probability: 21.3

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 28.8

Outcome: Bologna FC Win | Probability: 49.9

Who Is Favoured between US Lecce vs Bologna FC?

Our model points to Bologna FC as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 49.9 probability of taking the win. US Lecce are rated at 21.3 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 28.8 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 28.8 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Serie A Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Bologna FC's 49.9 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, US Lecce's 21.3 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Serie A Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for US Lecce vs Bologna FC: Bologna FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 49.9. The draw at 28.8 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. US Lecce at 21.3 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: US Lecce vs Bologna FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Italy

League: Serie A

Favourite: Bologna FC (49.9)

Draw Chance: 28.8

Underdog: US Lecce (21.3)

Bet Now

Bet on Winna

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Form & league table

US Lecce

#12 of 20 · 6 pts · 2W 0D 2L · 5:7

W L L W L

Last match 20 days ago
Next: Juventus, 14 days later

Bologna FC

#17 of 20 · 2 pts · 0W 2D 3L · 3:6

L L D L D

Last match 22 days ago
Next: Cagliari, 13 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

Serie A table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	11	13
2	Inter Milan	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12
5	Como	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	7:4	3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	7:4	3	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	6:4	2	7
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	5:7	-2	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
16	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	5:11	-6	3
17	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
18	Parma	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0