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Malaga CF vs Villarreal CF

Malaga CF 3.55

LIVE 1 - 3

Villarreal CF 1.93

Win Probability implied from market odds

26.4%

Malaga CF

3.55

25%

Draw

3.75

48.6%

Villarreal CF

1.93

Villarreal CF are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.75 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$375.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Villarreal CF (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.93. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $193.00.

Malaga CF vs Villarreal CF | LaLiga Round 6

Villarreal are slight favourites despite sitting 19th in LaLiga, with implied odds of 48.6% to win. Both teams are in desperate form—Malaga have one win in five and Villarreal have none in six—but the away side's extra attacking output gives them the edge on paper.

How are both teams playing?

Malaga sit 18th in LaLiga with 3 points from 5 matches. They have drawn their last two games at home against Levante and Deportivo de A Coruña, but lost 4-0 away to Real Madrid and 2-0 at Atlético Madrid. Their record reads: no wins, three draws, two losses. They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 8.

Villarreal are one place below Malaga in 19th with just 2 points from 5 league matches. They have lost their last three LaLiga games, including a 2-1 home defeat to Real Betis on 14 September. They also lost 3-2 away at Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League four days earlier. Villarreal's form is: no wins, two draws, three losses in the league. They have been more prolific, scoring 7 and conceding 10.

Malaga home form: Two draws (last two matches)
Malaga away form: One draw, two losses
Villarreal home form: Two losses
Villarreal away form: One draw, two losses

Rest and what's coming next?

Malaga played away at Celta Vigo on 13 September, drawing 1-1. They have had 4 days' rest before this match. They face Getafe at home on 20 September, just 2 days after this fixture.

Villarreal lost 2-1 at home to Real Betis on 14 September. They have had 3 days' rest. They travel to Levante on 20 September, also 2 days after facing Malaga. Both teams will have quick turnarounds after this match.

Malaga CF vs Villarreal CF

	Malaga CF	Villarreal CF
League position	18th	19th
Points	3	2
Goals scored	2	7
Goals conceded	8	10
Goal difference	-6	-3
Form (last 5)	DDLDL	LLLDD

Our view

This is a match between two sides desperately seeking their first win. Malaga's defensive struggles (conceding 8 in 5 games) meet Villarreal's attack-minded approach (7 goals scored). However, Villarreal's poor form—no wins in six games and three losses in their last three league matches—undermines their favouritism.

The draw has been common for Malaga (three in five matches), and another draw looks plausible given Villarreal's inability to secure wins despite scoring more. The implied probability of 25% for a draw is reasonable value in a match where both teams are fragile.

We lean towards a Villarreal win based on their superior attacking output, but this is far from certain. Both sides are capable of surprising results given their desperation for points. At 48.6% implied probability, Villarreal offer modest value as favourites, though a draw remains a genuine possibility.

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Frequently asked questions

About Malaga CF vs Villarreal CF

Why is Villarreal favoured despite being 19th?

Villarreal have scored 7 goals in the league compared to Malaga's 2, showing more offensive threat. Despite worse overall form, that goal-scoring advantage justifies implied odds of 48.6% to win.

How do Malaga perform at home?

Malaga have drawn their last two home games against Levante and Deportivo de A Coruña, showing defensive solidity but a lack of attacking edge. At home this season they have drawn twice and lost once.

What will Villarreal be missing after this match?

Villarreal must travel to Levante just 2 days after this match on 20 September. Malaga also face a quick turnaround against Getafe on the same day, so both teams face fixture congestion heading out of Round 6.

Form & league table

Malaga CF

#20 of 20 · 4 pts · 0W 4D 5L · 6:18

L D L D D

Last match 4 days ago
Next: Deportivo Alavés, 35 days later

Villarreal CF

#12 of 20 · 9 pts · 2W 3D 4L · 13:13

D L L L L

Last match 3 days ago
Next: Napoli, 25 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

LaLiga table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	39:9	30	27
2	Atlético Madrid	9	7	1	1	19:8	11	22
3	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	23:9	14	21
4	Real Betis	9	6	1	2	16:14	2	19
5	Real Sociedad	9	5	1	3	17:17	0	16
6	Sevilla	9	4	2	3	14:16	-2	14
7	Deportivo Alavés	9	3	2	4	13:10	3	11
8	Celta Vigo	9	2	5	2	10:7	3	11
9	Deportivo de A Coruña	9	2	5	2	13:12	1	11
10	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	10:18	-8	11
11	Athletic Bilbao	7	2	3	2	7:6	1	9
12	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	13:13	0	9
13	Espanyol	9	2	2	5	11:12	-1	8
14	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
15	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8
16	Racing de Santander	9	2	2	5	13:25	-12	8
17	Levante	8	1	4	3	12:16	-4	7
18	Elche	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7
19	Valencia	9	1	3	5	6:15	-9	6
20	Málaga	9	0	4	5	6:18	-12	4