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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC

Real Madrid 1.24

Sun, Oct 18

21:00 CET

draw

6.60

Sevilla FC 9.80

Win Probability implied from market odds

76.1%

Real Madrid

1.24

14.3%

Draw

6.60

9.6%

Sevilla FC

9.80

Real Madrid are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Sevilla FC (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 9.80 odds. If you bet $100 on Sevilla FC you can win $$980.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Real Madrid (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.24. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $124.00.

Betting Prediction

Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC Prediction & Betting Tips | LaLiga Soccer being played on Sunday, Oct 18 at 21:00

Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC – LaLiga Match Prediction

Spain | LaLiga | Soccer

Ahead of this LaLiga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC.

Outcome: Real Madrid Win | Probability: 76.1

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 14.3

Outcome: Sevilla FC Win | Probability: 9.6

Who Is Favoured between Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC?

Our model gives Real Madrid the edge in this Soccer match, with a 76.1 probability of claiming all three points. Sevilla FC are rated as the underdog at 9.6, while there remains a 14.3 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 14.3 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Real Madrid holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for LaLiga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Real Madrid's 76.1 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Sevilla FC's 9.6 is far from negligible — competitive LaLiga fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: Real Madrid to win is the percentage-backed selection at 76.1. The draw at 14.3 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Sevilla FC at 9.6 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC

Match: Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Spain

League: LaLiga

Favourite: Real Madrid (76.1)

Draw Chance: 14.3

Underdog: Sevilla FC (9.6)

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Form & league table

Real Madrid

#4 of 20 · 18 pts · 6W 0D 2L · 19:8

W W W L W

Last match 8 days ago
Next: Barcelona, 7 days later

Sevilla FC

#5 of 20 · 14 pts · 4W 2D 2L · 13:12

D W W L D

Last match 6 days ago
Next: Osasuna, 8 days later

Stats and results by LiveSportsIn

LaLiga table

Season 2026-2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF:GA	GD	pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	34:7	27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
3	Real Betis	8	6	1	1	14:9	5	19
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	19:8	11	18
5	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	13:12	1	14
6	Real Sociedad	8	4	1	3	12:15	-3	13
7	Deportivo Alavés	8	3	2	3	12:8	4	11
8	Deportivo de A Coruña	8	2	4	2	12:11	1	10
9	Celta Vigo	8	1	5	2	8:6	2	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	13:13	0	8
12	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	11:11	0	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
14	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8
15	Racing de Santander	8	2	2	4	13:23	-10	8
16	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	8:18	-10	8
17	Levante	7	1	3	3	11:15	-4	6
18	Elche	8	1	3	4	11:17	-6	6
19	Valencia	8	1	2	5	6:15	-9	5
20	Málaga	8	0	4	4	4:13	-9	4