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Uruguay · Primera Division

CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers

CA Progreso CA Progreso 2.58
VS
Sat, Apr 18
18:00 CET
draw
3.05
Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2.68
Win Probability implied from market odds
35.6%
CA Progreso
2.58
30.1%
Draw
3.05
34.3%
Montevideo Wanderers
2.68

CA Progreso are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.05 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$305.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on CA Progreso (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 2.58. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $258.00.

Betting Prediction

CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction & Betting Tips | Primera Division Soccer being played on Saturday, Apr 18 at 18:00

CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers – Primera Division Match Prediction

Uruguay | Primera Division | Soccer

Ahead of this Primera Division fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers.

Outcome: CA Progreso Win | Probability: 35.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 30.1

Outcome: Montevideo Wanderers Win | Probability: 34.3

Who Is Favoured between CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Our model gives CA Progreso the edge in this Soccer match, with a 35.6 probability of claiming all three points. Montevideo Wanderers are rated as the underdog at 34.3, while there remains a 30.1 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 30.1 is considered {draw_label}. Despite CA Progreso holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primera Division Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. CA Progreso's 35.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Montevideo Wanderers's 34.3 is far from negligible — competitive Primera Division fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers: CA Progreso to win is the percentage-backed selection at 35.6. The draw at 30.1 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Montevideo Wanderers at 34.3 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers

Match: CA Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers

Sport: Soccer

Country: Uruguay

League: Primera Division

Favourite: CA Progreso (35.6)

Draw Chance: 30.1

Underdog: Montevideo Wanderers (34.3)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

1 1.82
2 1.86

1

1 2.58
X 3.05
2 2.68