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ATP · ATP Madrid, Spain

Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy

Tirante, Thiago Agustin Tirante, Thiago Agustin 1.38
VS
Fri, Apr 24
11:00 CET
Paul, Tommy Paul, Tommy 2.86
Win Probability implied from market odds
67.5%
Tirante, Thiago Agustin
1.38
32.5%
Paul, Tommy
2.86

Tirante, Thiago Agustin are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Tirante, Thiago Agustin (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.86 odds. If you bet $100 on Tirante, Thiago Agustin you can win $$286.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Paul, Tommy (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.38. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $138.00.

Betting Prediction

Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy Prediction & Betting Tips | ATP Madrid, Spain Tennis

Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy – ATP Madrid, Spain Match Prediction

ATP | ATP Madrid, Spain | Tennis

Ahead of this ATP Madrid, Spain fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy.

Outcome: Tirante, Thiago Agustin Win | Probability: 67.5

Outcome: Paul, Tommy Win | Probability: 32.5

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy?

Our model gives Tirante, Thiago Agustin the clear edge in this Tennis matchup, with a 67.5 probability of victory. Paul, Tommy come in at 32.5 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Tirante, Thiago Agustin's 67.5 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for ATP Madrid, Spain Tennis fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Tirante, Thiago Agustin's 67.5 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Paul, Tommy at 32.5, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy: Tirante, Thiago Agustin to win is the percentage-backed selection at 67.5 and represents the straightforward model play. Paul, Tommy at 32.5 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Tirante, Thiago Agustin vs Paul, Tommy

Sport: Tennis

Country: ATP

League: ATP Madrid, Spain

Favourite: Tirante, Thiago Agustin (67.5)

Underdog: Paul, Tommy (32.5)

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Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

2 1.38
1 2.86
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