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ATP · ATP Rome, Italy Qualification

Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob

Mochizuki, Shintaro Mochizuki, Shintaro 1.57
VS
Mon, May 04
14:30 CET
Fearnley, Jacob Fearnley, Jacob 2.28
Win Probability implied from market odds
59.2%
Mochizuki, Shintaro
1.57
40.8%
Fearnley, Jacob
2.28

Mochizuki, Shintaro are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Mochizuki, Shintaro (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.28 odds. If you bet $100 on Mochizuki, Shintaro you can win $$228.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Fearnley, Jacob (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.57. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $157.00.

Betting Prediction

Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob Prediction & Betting Tips | ATP Rome, Italy Qualification Tennis

Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob – ATP Rome, Italy Qualification Match Prediction

ATP | ATP Rome, Italy Qualification | Tennis

Ahead of this ATP Rome, Italy Qualification fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob.

Outcome: Mochizuki, Shintaro Win | Probability: 59.2

Outcome: Fearnley, Jacob Win | Probability: 40.8

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob?

Our model gives Mochizuki, Shintaro the clear edge in this Tennis matchup, with a 59.2 probability of victory. Fearnley, Jacob come in at 40.8 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Mochizuki, Shintaro's 59.2 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for ATP Rome, Italy Qualification Tennis fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Mochizuki, Shintaro's 59.2 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Fearnley, Jacob at 40.8, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob: Mochizuki, Shintaro to win is the percentage-backed selection at 59.2 and represents the straightforward model play. Fearnley, Jacob at 40.8 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Mochizuki, Shintaro vs Fearnley, Jacob

Sport: Tennis

Country: ATP

League: ATP Rome, Italy Qualification

Favourite: Mochizuki, Shintaro (59.2)

Underdog: Fearnley, Jacob (40.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

2 1.57
1 2.28