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ATP · ATP Rome, Italy

Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano

Shapovalov, Denis Shapovalov, Denis 1.45
VS
Thu, May 07
17:00 CET
Navone, Mariano Navone, Mariano 2.58
Win Probability implied from market odds
64%
Shapovalov, Denis
1.45
36%
Navone, Mariano
2.58

Shapovalov, Denis are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Shapovalov, Denis (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.58 odds. If you bet $100 on Shapovalov, Denis you can win $$258.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Navone, Mariano (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.45. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $145.00.

Betting Prediction

Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano Prediction & Betting Tips | ATP Rome, Italy Tennis

Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano – ATP Rome, Italy Match Prediction

ATP | ATP Rome, Italy | Tennis

Ahead of this ATP Rome, Italy fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano.

Outcome: Shapovalov, Denis Win | Probability: 64.0

Outcome: Navone, Mariano Win | Probability: 36.0

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano?

Our model gives Shapovalov, Denis the clear edge in this Tennis matchup, with a 64.0 probability of victory. Navone, Mariano come in at 36.0 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Shapovalov, Denis's 64.0 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for ATP Rome, Italy Tennis fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Shapovalov, Denis's 64.0 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Navone, Mariano at 36.0, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano: Shapovalov, Denis to win is the percentage-backed selection at 64.0 and represents the straightforward model play. Navone, Mariano at 36.0 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Shapovalov, Denis vs Navone, Mariano

Sport: Tennis

Country: ATP

League: ATP Rome, Italy

Favourite: Shapovalov, Denis (64.0)

Underdog: Navone, Mariano (36.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

2 1.45
1 2.58